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Post by Moeee on Feb 13, 2020 17:52:49 GMT 10
A Market is a list. A list of animals in order of winningest chance , with the added data of the difference between each animal being expressed as well.
Here's how I form a Market for Sandown race 7 tonight.
First step I do is place the animals in my seat of pants order accompanied by a seat of pants diffrence between each animal , which then produces a seat of Pants Market. This market is more a representation of what knowledge , if any , I have of this field. It is hopefully a little more accurate than simply having all the runners at $8 And in this case it is meaningless except that it shows a bias towards the inside dogs as it is on a bend start.
Sandown Park 7 9:04PM 595m
5 ROCKSTAR BEAV $6.4 1 KING COLT $7.1 2 DYNA UNI $7.5 4 OXLEY ONE $7.9 9 SISCO RIDE $8.3 6 TOUGH TEARS $8.8 7 WEBLEC HAZE $9.3 8 RED ROCHELLE $9.8
Now I start my studies working my way up from the bottom , as the bottom dogs are there because I have not heard of them or cannot put any sort of knowledge of these dogs onto paper. And the first look finds Sisco Ride out of form to take advantage of its good draw and it now drops to rank. Red Rochelle is also expected to find pain way out there so it is 2nd worst
5 ROCKSTAR BEAV $6.2 1 KING COLT $6.9 2 DYNA UNI $7.3 4 OXLEY ONE $7.7 6 TOUGH TEARS $8.5 7 WEBLEC HAZE $9 8 RED ROCHELLE $10 9 SISCO RIDE $10.5
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Post by Moeee on Feb 13, 2020 18:35:40 GMT 10
The next pass gives this . with the bottom 4 animals rankings and differences set.
5 ROCKSTAR BEAV $5.4 1 KING COLT $6 6 TOUGH TEARS $7.5 7 WEBLEC HAZE $7.9 4 OXLEY ONE $8.7 2 DYNA UNI $9.7 8 RED ROCHELLE $10.8 9 SISCO RIDE $12.6
And the final pass gives this , which needs to be adjusted based on The Watchdog , and the acailable Market assessments
5 ROCKSTAR BEAV $3.4 1 KING COLT $7.6 6 TOUGH TEARS $8.4 7 WEBLEC HAZE $8.9 4 OXLEY ONE $9.9 2 DYNA UNI $10.9 8 RED ROCHELLE $12.2 9 SISCO RIDE $14.2
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Post by Moeee on Feb 13, 2020 19:01:26 GMT 10
And the Final market is this , and there is no wager to be had although I may monitor betfair about the top selection , but will be wanting $4.30 and little likelihood of that happenning
5 ROCKSTAR BEAV $3.4 1 KING COLT $7.1 6 TOUGH TEARS $8.3 7 WEBLEC HAZE $8.8 4 OXLEY ONE $9.8 2 DYNA UNI $11.4 8 RED ROCHELLE $12.7 9 SISCO RIDE $15.7
I can't agree with the available Odds about the red runner - Does seem to have every chance by default , but just unsure it can run a winning time of 34.3
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